Game Result Predictions
Tuesday, March 19
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Coral Gables, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Vanderbilt (59-12, Neutral 13-2) |
3 | 9 | -6.0 | 70% | 12 | ✔ | 13 | -13.0 | 95% | ✔ | |
|
Belmont (27-30, Neutral 1-3) |
0 | 3 | +6.0 | 30% | Actual: 3 (-9) |
0 | +13.0 | 5% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Indianapolis, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Eastern Illinois (23-29, Road 17-19) |
2 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 46% | ✘ | |
|
Butler (24-26, Home 11-7) |
0 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 2 (-10) |
6 | -0.5 | 54% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Richmond, KY | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Louisville (51-18, Road 15-4) |
12 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 12 | ✔ | 9 | -7.5 | 86% | ✔ | |
|
Eastern Kentucky (31-27, Home 17-11) |
8 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | Actual: 20 (8) |
2 | +7.5 | 14% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Columbia, MO | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Murray State (23-30, Road 6-17) |
1 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | 11 | ✔ | 1 | +7.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
|
Missouri (34-22-1, Home 21-6) |
2 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 3 (-8) |
8 | -7.0 | 84% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Morehead, KY | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Alabama State (28-26, Road 9-12) |
2 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | 14 | ✔ | 4 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
|
Morehead State (40-21, Home 26-2) |
9 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 11 (-3) |
9 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Worcester, MA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Tennessee Tech (22-32, Road 5-21) |
7 | 7 | +1.0 | 46% | 15 | ✘ | 6 | +0.5 | 47% | ✘ | |
|
North Alabama (16-38, Home 8-7) |
6 | 8 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 13 (-2) |
7 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Cape Girardeau, MO | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Memphis (27-28, Road 8-13) |
6 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 13 | ✘ | 7 | -3.5 | 71% | ✘ | |
|
Southeast Missouri (21-32, Home 15-15) |
7 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 13 (0) |
4 | +3.5 | 29% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Carbondale, IL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
SIUE (19-32, Road 4-23) |
6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 4 | +3.0 | 32% | ✔ | |
|
Southern Illinois (26-29, Home 19-9) |
7 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 13 (1) |
7 | -3.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Martin, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Alabama A&M (16-35, Road 9-20) |
3 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✔ | 4 | +4.0 | 27% | ✔ | |
|
Tennessee-Martin (22-31, Home 9-8) |
8 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 11 (-1) |
8 | -4.0 | 73% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Bowling Green, KY | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Austin Peay (32-25, Road 11-12) |
5 | 8 | -1.0 | 54% | 15 | ✔ | 6 | +0.5 | 50% | ✘ | |
|
Western Kentucky (26-29-1, Home 17-10-1) |
3 | 7 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 8 (-7) |
7 | -0.5 | 50% | |||